Reasons Hamas Might Now Embrace a Deal It Once Rejected
In recent weeks, protests against Hamas have surfaced, driven by anger related to the conflict, economic struggles, and oppression.
There is increasing evidence that Hamas is gearing up to agree to a limited pact that it had previously turned down—this arrangement would facilitate the release of numerous Israeli hostages, both alive and deceased, in exchange for a temporary truce, the liberation of Palestinian detainees, enhanced humanitarian aid deliveries, and a revitalized structure for wider discussions. What has prompted this shift?
Several reasons have aligned to compel Hamas to reassess its position.
To begin with, the Israel Defense Forces have astonished Hamas with innovative and more effective strategies on the battlefield. The militant organization, taken by surprise and unable to respond swiftly, requires time and space to reorganize. A truce would provide just that—an operational break to reinforce its defenses and readjust its strategies.
Moreover, Hamas’s hold on authority is closely linked to its management of aid distribution and essential resources in Gaza. The group has historically capitalized on humanitarian aid to bolster its power, rewarding loyalty and penalizing opposition. A deal would facilitate essential shipments, assisting Hamas in maintaining internal order and replenishing dwindling resources.
Additionally, external pressures are intensifying. Egypt and Qatar, both of whom have long engaged with the group, are reportedly pressing Hamas to accept an agreement. Their renewed efforts are influenced by the Trump administration, which has escalated the stakes by cautioning regional stakeholders that ongoing conflict undermines broader U.S. strategic goals.
Lastly—and perhaps most critically for Hamas—there is increasing discontent within Gaza itself. Recent weeks have seen protests against Hamas fueled by dissatisfaction with the war, economic difficulties, and oppression. There are signs that these demonstrations may not be entirely spontaneous, possibly encouraged by outside players aiming to weaken the group's control. Hamas has a strong motivation to buy time and address these internal challenges before they escalate.