The BJP is poised for a third term in Haryana

 

The BJP is poised for a third term in Haryana, while the National Conference-Congress alliance is leading in Jammu and Kashmir, defying exit poll predictions. The BJP is currently leading in 49 out of 90 seats in Haryana. In the state of Jammu and Kashmir, currently holding its first election in ten years, the National Conference and Congress coalition is leading in 52 out of the 90 seats. 

Meanwhile, the BJP appears poised for a third consecutive term in Haryana and is performing strongly in the Jammu region. Kashmir seems to have decisively supported the National Conference in the recent assembly polls, while the Congress struggled once again. Below are the key points of the election results: Contrary to exit poll forecasts, the BJP is currently ahead in 49 out of 90 seats in Haryana.

 The Congress is currently behind with 34 seats, but remains optimistic about its chances of winning. Arvind Kejriwal's Aam Aadmi Party, which harbored aspirations of establishing a presence in Haryana following successes in Delhi and Punjab, has been unable to secure any seats. The party experienced success in Jammu and Kashmir by securing the Doda seat. In the state, the National Conference and Congress alliance is leading in 52 out of 90 seats, surpassing the required halfway mark of 46 as they elect their government after ten years. The BJP leads in 27 seats, predominantly in the Jammu region. The National Conference leads in 44 out of 47 seats in Kashmir, demonstrating strong performance in both Kashmir Valley and Pir Panjal and Chenab valleys. 

The Congress had anticipated a decisive win in Haryana, in line with exit poll predictions, but also performed poorly in Jammu and Kashmir. The party is currently ahead in only eight out of the 90 seats in Jammu and Kashmir, specifically in the Kashmir Valley, benefiting from the momentum of the pro-National Conference movement. In Jammu, where it was anticipated to compete evenly with the BJP, it has not managed to take the lead in any instance. The Valley has also seen a significant setback for Mehbooba Mufti's Peoples Democratic Party, which exit polls had anticipated to have a crucial role in a potentially divided outcome. 

The political party, anticipated to secure a minimum of eight seats, is currently ahead in only two seats. J&K's smaller political parties and Independent candidates, some of whom have the support of the BJP, are currently ahead in 9 seats. The state leaders of the BJP had previously stated that their number of seats would contribute to the party's overall total. When combined with the five MLAs appointed by the Governor, it was anticipated that the party would have enough seats to establish a government. The Congress has not yet acknowledged its defeat in Haryana. BJP leaders, on the other hand, are celebrating the victory, attributing the Congress' loss to internal conflicts and its treatment of marginalized communities. They specifically mention the party's support for Bhupinder Hooda over Kumari Selja as a contributing factor. The unexpected shift in Jat votes also worked in favor of the BJP.

 The Jats and the farmer community, believed to be dissatisfied with the farm laws, the handling of sexual harassment accusations against a BJP MP involving women wrestlers, and the Agniveer scheme, were anticipated to support the Congress. However, the BJP is currently ahead in 70% of seats dominated by Jats, which amounts to 17 out of 33 seats. The Congress leads by a margin of only 14. The BJP leads in all seven bellwether seats and is performing strongly in constituencies with a majority of Scheduled Castes, currently leading in nine out of 17 seats.